ForecastraFORECASTRA
DOCS // FORECASTRA PROTOCOL

Read the manual.
Then place the bet.

Everything you need to know about FORECASTRA — markets, betting, resolution mechanics, and the chain it all runs on.

01 // INTRODUCTION

What is FORECASTRA?

FORECASTRA is a prediction market for token launches on Robinhood Chain. Every time a token launches, markets are auto-created around its fate: will it graduate from the bonding curve, hit a market cap target, survive — or rug?

You buy YES or NO shares on each outcome. When the market resolves, the winning side splits the losing side's pool. Everything — from market creation to resolution to payout — happens on-chain.

AUTO MARKETS
Every launch gets markets
ON-CHAIN
Resolution without trust
INSTANT
Payouts at resolution
02 // QUICKSTART

From zero to first bet

01
STEP 01

Connect your wallet

Hit CONNECT WALLET. FORECASTRA works with MetaMask and any WalletConnect-compatible wallet. If you’re not on Robinhood Chain yet, the site prompts you to add it automatically.

02
STEP 02

Fund with ETH

Robinhood Chain uses ETH for gas and betting. Bridge ETH to chain 4663, and you’re ready to trade.

03
STEP 03

Pick a market

Browse open markets by category — Graduation, Market Cap, Dev Behavior, Longevity, or Rug Risk. The probability bar shows the crowd’s current lean.

04
STEP 04

Buy YES or NO

Choose a side, enter an amount (or use the 20/50/100% balance shortcuts), and confirm. Your shares are held in your wallet.

05
STEP 05

Get paid at resolution

When the market resolves on-chain, winners split the losing pool automatically. Funds land directly in your wallet.

03 // MARKET TYPES

Five ways to call a launch

CATEGORIES // RESOLUTION SOURCES
Graduation

Will the token graduate from the bonding curve?

RESOLUTION: On-chain: bonding curve completion
Market Cap

Will the token hit a specific market cap by the deadline?

RESOLUTION: Oracle: price feed at deadline
Dev Behavior

Will the dev sell more than X% of supply within a timeframe?

RESOLUTION: On-chain: wallet transaction tracking
Longevity

Will the token survive X days with active volume?

RESOLUTION: On-chain: volume check at deadline
Rug Risk

Will the token rug (liquidity removed) within a timeframe?

RESOLUTION: On-chain: liquidity pool monitoring
04 // BETTING & PAYOUTS

The math of a call

SHARES

Every market has a YES pool and a NO pool. Buying shares mints them to your wallet; the price you pay reflects the current probability. Early calls are cheap, late calls are expensive — being early and right pays the most.

PAYOUT

At resolution, the winning side splits the entire losing pool pro-rata by share size. Your payout = your shares ÷ total winning shares × losing pool. Instant, on-chain, no claims needed.

EXAMPLE // $PONS GRADUATION
YES POOL6.0 ETH
NO POOL4.0 ETH
YOU BUY1.0 ETH of YES
OUTCOMEGRADUATED → YES WINS
YOUR SHARE1 / 7 of YES pool
YOUR PAYOUT≈ 1.43 ETH (10 ETH ÷ 7)
SIMPLIFIED EXAMPLE  ·  ACTUAL PRICING FOLLOWS THE MARKET CURVE
05 // RESOLUTION

No judges. Just the chain.

FORECASTRA never decides outcomes manually. Each market type resolves from a verifiable on-chain source at its deadline:

Bonding curve state
Graduation markets settle the moment a token fills its curve.
Wallet transaction tracking
Dev behavior markets watch the deployer wallet for sells.
Liquidity pool monitoring
Rug markets trigger when liquidity is removed.
Volume checks
Longevity markets verify trading activity at the deadline.
Price oracle feed
Market cap markets snapshot price at the exact deadline block.
06 // CHAIN REFERENCE

Robinhood Chain mainnet

NETWORK PARAMS // CHAIN 4663
NETWORKRobinhood Chain
CHAIN ID4663 (0x1237)
RPC URLhttps://rpc.mainnet.chain.robinhood.com
EXPLORERhttps://explorer.mainnet.chain.robinhood.com
NATIVE CURRENCYETH (18 decimals)
TYPELayer 2
FORECASTRA PROMPTS YOUR WALLET TO ADD THIS NETWORK AUTOMATICALLY
07 // FAQ

Common questions

What chain does FORECASTRA run on?+
Robinhood Chain mainnet — chain ID 4663. It is an L2 with ETH as the native gas token, so you bet and pay gas in ETH.
How are markets created?+
Markets are auto-created for every token launch. Each launch gets a set of markets across the five categories: Graduation, Market Cap, Dev Behavior, Longevity, and Rug Risk.
How do payouts work?+
Winners split the losing side’s pool pro-rata by share size. Payouts are instant and sent directly to your wallet when the market resolves.
Who decides the outcome?+
Nobody. Resolution is fully on-chain — bonding curve state, wallet transactions, volume, and liquidity are read directly from the chain at the deadline. No manual intervention.
Can I sell my position early?+
YES/NO shares can be traded against the market pool until the market resolves, letting you exit early or hedge.
READY // MARKETS OPEN AT TOKEN LAUNCH
Browse Markets